1 0 Tag Archives: bear market
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Daytrading Stocks During a Bear Market

The US stock market appears to have entered a new bear market since its high at the end of April. While Wall Street generally defines a bear market as a 20% decline, the average bear market drops quite a bit more. As of this writing, the market has declined over 14% from its April high.

Daytrading stocks during market declines can prove to be quite the challenge for day traders no matter how much experience they have. This is due to the fact that market volatility has a tendency to increase during most market declines, whether they are short term corrections or the typical bear market. This increase in volatility can wipe out the trading capital of even the experienced trader if they do not adjust their trading.

Generally speaking, after large run-ups in stock prices, or in any market, there will be violent pull-backs. While this increase in volatility can produce some big directional moves, there may be sizable intraday swings that can catch a trader off guard.

With this in mind, how does a daytrader prepare for these changing conditions? Well, most daytraders are not in the business of forecasting market direction, but it can be very helpful to pay attention to some technical and psychological indicators that may provide a clue regarding market direction. Those indicators include price and volume, the TRIN, New 52 week highs and lows, the advance/decline line, the number of bullish vs. bearish investors, etc. A more detailed discussion regarding these indicators is more suitable for another article.

When a day trader becomes aware that the market character has changed to a bearish tone, then it is time to adjust their thinking when it comes to managing trades. First of all, due to the usual increase in market volatility, the trader should scale back position size. While it may have been reasonable to trade 1,000 shares in a stock during a bull move, 500 shares might be more reasonable in a bear move. The novice day trader will think they are losing out on a sizable profit opportunity by trading smaller during these major down moves. The experienced trader realizes that it is more important to preserve capital for time periods when the market is more predictable and less volatile.

One other issue facing daytraders during these bear markets is that the market has a tendency to have sharp intraday reversals, and there tends to be more sizable opening gaps. As some day traders actually do carry positions over night, it is a good idea to carry smaller positions over night due to the greater risk of a market reversal.

The day trader should also be aware that the overall long term market tendency is for stocks to trade higher each day. As such, even while the market is in a downtrend, quite a few trading days will close to the upside. During the current down move, nearly 40% of the trading days have closed to the upside. If a daytrader can recognize that even bear markets will pause for a breather, they will recognize significant opportunities to profit after these brief pauses when the market resumes its downtrend.

Day traders should also consider trading other vehicles besides individual stocks during bear markets. This is due to the fact that it costs the trader extra to short a stock, since they must first borrow the shares from their broker, and pay interest on those shares, in order to sell the stock short. Therefore, day traders should consider trading stock index futures, or ETFs that rise when the market falls. It is important that traders consider the cost of their trades, not just whether they make a profit or loss.

While it is definitely possible to trade profitably during bear markets, there are significant pitfalls. For many novice day traders, it may just be a good idea to sit on the sidelines and observe the market action so that they are prepared for the next bear market downturn when it comes along.

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04. Jun, 2011
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Investing in a Bear Market

Currently the share market is in negative but still there is no need to panic because there are some rules to survive in the bear market and these rules would help in returning back to its original position quickly.

Sorry to say, but there are many investor who just could not resist the attraction to experiment in the market, as these investor believe that they can earn good profits because of the short-term price movements. However, there would be some good deals as well but it would be very difficult to recognize and could also give very painful rewards in a bear market.

Bear market as known to everyone particularly to the investors that it is completely different to bull market, not only in terms of price movement but also there are other differences as well that includes:

1. Time Factor:
Bear markets show slow movement of prices provided it is not activated by a crash like the October, 1987. Generally, the price movement in the bear market is slow and reduces gradually.

2. People become poorer:
In bear market there are very few investors who would have the funds and would be willing to invest. Besides broker no one would be interested in trading because the earnings of brokers would have been dried up.

An investor needs to change his mindset if he wants to survive in a bear market, particularly if the bear market has come up after a long-run bull market when everyone would have invested their money on stocks had yielded good returns.

3. Stay happy even if your investment yields low returns
It is the time when an investor earning zero return on his investment must be satisfied because he is better than those who are having negative returns on their investments. It is the time when people used to see their value of investment and stocks falling.

4. You must have cash in hand:
Since most of the investment would give negative returns therefore you must have cash in hand in such time of crisis.

5. You must have diversified your portfolio before bear market or else it’s too late:
It is important that you have diversified your portfolio and by doing this you would have reduced your risk, but if you have not done this until the bear market is reached, then it is too late now.

6. If you have cash, keep it with you:
Many brokers would suggest investing in the market and will say that the market is going to get better, but remember that they are thinking about their own personal fee therefore, it is a better idea to wait and enter the market when others have started investing.

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31. Dec, 2010